Friday, 29 August 2008

The 95%...

LINK:
http://alchemytoday.com/obamataxcut/

pretty neat program.

Thoughts on Palin and Gramps

In many ways I would not dread a John McCain victory. His pick of Sarah Palin as his VP, his "we are all Georgians now" comment, his belief that anyone who makes up to $5 million a year is a part of the middle class, his inability to define terms such as Sunni or Shia, are all demonstrations of a serious disconnect, if not dementia. Sen Obama was probably correct in his charge that "it's not that John McCain doesn't care, he just doesn't get it." But as someone who would not suffer as much as the majority of my countrymen under a McCain/Palin administration (I am a student, not a mortgage holder), I anticipate with my eyes to the future the predictable increases of poverty, warfare, economic turmoil, ugliness, incompetence, inaction, and stupidness (Palin is a creationist and her entire mental faculty is therefore called into question) that would befall my once great nation during their theoretical 4-8 year administration. For I believe that even with an Obama victory, Americans will continue to ignore our individual responsibilities as members of a democratic republic, that we will continue to consume a declining fuel source on a massive scale without any notion of consequence, that we will be unable to confront effectively and constitutionally the growth of subnational threats from individuals and small groups and increases in systems disruption as the brittle energy supply chain gets tossed around the global stage like a hackeysack (see: Georgia vs Gazprom and the BTC saga, US natural gas supply and hurricanes, Canada pipeline rupture of 2007 among others). Hallowed out states will probably propogate (see: Cambria, Lebanon, Mexico, Iraq, Colombia, Pakistan, Nigeria), and those new fangled global supply chains and internet that Sen McCain just discovered will all abet this increased fracturing. Americans will be unable to confront these challenges. I agree with James Howard Kunstler that only a massive social disruption, prompted by a final energy crisis, will radically alter the material ugliness, petty religion, and fucked up lifestyles of socially stunted rich white kids that I saw growing up in the idealized American suburb (FAMILY VALUES). Obama's victory will not change the insanity of the 45% or so of our population that will vote against him, no matter how intelligent his Russia policy is, or how quickly he fixes health care, or whether or not he can successfully pull US forces from Iraq. Pick a policy -- any policy!, to these people results do not matter. I agree with Mr Kunstler that only such a dramatic crisis as fundamental energy shift could call to cause the full, restless strength of America, that maybe we deserve to have our noses to the grindstone after the past three decades, and it is my belief that Obama is diligent enough to ease and prolong such a crisis. America and the globe will, at some point, confront the holistic nature and dominance of the global marketplace that they've created, and we will all understand that interdependencies create shared catastrophes as well as shared opportunities. And McCain/Palin is the perfect vessel to carry forth that apocalypse. Never in history, to my knowledge, has such a disgracefully awkward ticket been offered to the electorate. Sarah 'Who the Fuck' Palin? It is obvious that they will not confront the energy issue, that they cannot manage our international relationships, that they will only increase American political isolation and economic suffering. I feel insulted and confused at the same time. The soccer-mom-MILF who carries a shotgun to work and seems a tad unsure about what it means to be a "feminist" (or a VP for that matter) is surely a desperate lunge at the female vote, though I reckon that at least a million American men will vote for her based solely on her fuckability. But if John Robb's eloquent definition of the future of American and global security is correct, that we face either a global guerrilla security rule set or a resilient community rule set, and if we consider the implications of the nebulous anarchy of the former, I realize that, even if an American renaissance necessitates the fires of the alttestamentarisch, I would much rather see mitigating wisdom now than a whole generation of FDRs, Miles Davises and Jack Kerouacs later. And that's what Obama represents to me, this election. American greatness, hope, integrity, class, and above all our best chance to navigate these uncertain times.

"I hope I die before I get old (like that fuck John McCain)"
- Pete Townshend

note: for much better writing please read John Robb, James Kunstler, and Lawrence Velvel

New McCain campaign theme

Beauty and the Beast

Thursday, 28 August 2008

Fundamental Differences

Obama's vision for integrating nations into a global liberal trade order is in line with Eisenhower's and Marshall's. To wit, democracy cannot be imposed by the barrel of a gun. It must come from the ground up. It must be based on institutions (currency, infrastructure, academic, judicial, parliamentary, etc) and not one election. In order to achieve a lasting peace, he believes we must foster interdependencies based on trade and shared problems (such as climate change), that require us to work with autocratic regimes like the Chinese. He's very much in line with the Friedmans, Barnetts, and Zakarias of the world when it comes to trade and the global order.

McCain still believes that democracy can be imposed, and he believes, like Wolfowitz and the other true believers in the neo-con circle, that the will of peoples can be ignored as long as you have the backing of the government (hence their trusting the alliances that they fostered with countries as different as pre-2004 Spain and Pakistan under Mushe). He, like George W, "doesn't do nuance." He advocates kicking the Russians out of the G8, something they would have to agree to under the terms of the group, and creating an arcane League of Democracies that would surely be ineffective due to a lack of support from the countries that would be included (Europe, Japan, S Korea, Oceania) and the nature of the problems in the world today (disease, global poverty, global climate change, global guerrillas, global energy crisis) that transcend political ideology and traverse entire oceans and continents. McCain is hopeless when it comes to Iran, his line of thinking only anticipating a crisis that has yet to take full form. Karen Armstrong's brief description of the failures of modernity in the Muslim world in her book Islam is a good example of what we can continue to expect from such idiotic foreign policies.

True Faith

LINK:
http://www.thedenverchannel.com/politics/17166715/detail.html

James Dobson's group Focus on the Family produced a video asking its members to pray for biblical rain on Obama's DNC acceptance speech tonight. The vid was pulled after members complained. Key quote from the video's producer:

""I'm still pro life, and I'm still in favor of marriage as being between one man and one woman," Shepard said in his video. "And I would like the next president who will select justices for the next Supreme Court to agree."

Talk about "post-materialist" politics.

Thursday, 14 August 2008

Russia and Georgia

An excerpt from Network, written by Paddy Chayefsky:

"You have meddled with the primal forces of nature, Mr Beale, and I won't have it! Is that clear! You think you have merely stopped a business deal? That is not the case! The Arabs have taken billions of dollars out of this country, and now they must put it back! It is ebb and flow, tidal gravity, it is ecological balance. You are an old man who thinks in terms of nations and peoples...there are no nations, there are no peoples. There are no Russians. There are no Arabs. There are no third worlds, there is no West! There is only one holistic system of systems, one vast and imane interwoven, interacting, multivaried, multinational dominion of dollars! Petrodollars. Electrodollars. Multidollars. Marks. Rheims. Rubbles. Pounds. And sheckles. It is the international system of currency which determines the vitality of life on this planet. That is...the natural order of things today. That is the atomic and subatomic and galactic structure of things today! And you have meddled with the primal forces of nature! And you will atone! Am I getting through to you Mr Beale?

Then get up on your little 21" screen, and howl about America and democracy. There is no America. There is no democracy. There is only IBM, and ITT, and AT&T, and du Pont, Dow, Union Carbide, and Exxon. Those are the nations of the world today.

What do you think the Russians talk about at their Councils of State? Karl Marx? They get out their linear programming charts, statistical decision theories, mini-max solutions, and compute the price-cost probabilities of their transactions and investments, just like we do. We no longer live in a world of nations and ideologies, Mr Beale. The world is a college of corporations, inexorably determined by the immutable bylaws of business. The world is a business, Mr Beale. It has been since man crawled out of the slime.

And our children will live, Mr Beale, to see that perfect world in which there's no war or famine, oppression or brutality. One vast and ecumenical holding company for whom all men will work to serve a common purpose. In which all men will hold a share of stock. All necessities provided. All anxieties tranquilized. All boredom amused. And I have chosen you, Mr Beale, to preach this evangel."

LINK: http://globalguerrillas.typepad.com/globalguerrillas/2008/08/russias-hostile.html

"Russia is, for all intents and purposes, a corporation with the trappings of a nation-state. The core business of the Russian corporation is energy, its production and transport (as a result, Gazprom, Russia's key subsidiary, will likely become the world's most valuable publicly traded corporation, valued at over $1 trillion). Internally, production consolidation has led to the destruction of corporate competitors, to include domestic corporations (Yukos) and foreign partners (most recently BP). Externally, the focus has been on consolidating control over energy transportation (pipelines) and downstream integration (Europe, via soft pressure). Recent actions to control energy transportation include:

Georgia. The construction of the BTC pipeline (1 million barrels a day, currently Azeri and potentially Kazakh oil) that bypassed Russian control led to intentional systems disruption that led to a weeklong energy blackout, support for domestic insurgents, and (most recently) a military invasion."

- John Robb

Saturday, 2 August 2008

Pile of Shit

LINK:
http://www.d-n-i.net/dni/2008/07/29/on-war-269-why-mccain-is-wrong/
4GW idea-man William Lind dissects McCain's "surge" punchline as nothing more than a credit-grab in an analysis of the situation in Iraq. The DNI guys are always interesting to read.

LINK:
http://nymag.com/news/politics/powergrid/48928/

The New Yorker's John Heilemann discusses whether or not McCain is even able to run a clean, message-driven campaign and win, given all the negatives he has stacked against him (age, Iraq, gaffe-prone, poisonous Republican brand, the economy, right-wing distrust...) Interesting article that emphasizes in the end what many believe to be true: that Obama has to hit back hard, "with interest," every time the McCain camp puts out some bullshit like the infamous celeb ad.